Diaspora

Haiti: Flash Analysis and Prediction (20 December 2021) – Haiti – ReliefWeb

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Haiti
Looting and kidnapping will continue to increase as gang control spreads throughout Haiti and prices increase, though a strong acceptance strategy will LIKELY mitigate against severe violence towards aid organisations.
Summary
• At least 60 people were killed and a significant number injured on 14 December when a gasoline tanker that had crashed and overturned in Cap-Haïtien city exploded.
• Another fuel tanker explosion that killed one person and injured several was reported in a warehouse in Trou-du-Nord on 10 December. The warehouse had been allegedly stocked with black market fuel that was used to supply the town.
• Fuel has been in short supply for at least the last six months, with gangs – who now control large areas of Haiti – taking advantage of another source of income by controlling access to fuel.
• With Haiti’s economy facing significant fiscal stress, contracting by 3.8% in 2020, Finance Minister Michel Patrick Boisvert announced an “adjustment” in fuel prices on 07 December.
• Fuel shortage also affects aid organisations, leading to problems with deliveries of aid.
• The gangs and black-market traders’ control of fuel supplies will HIGHLY LIKELY extend throughout the country to more rural locations.
• Kidnapping of oil tanker drivers WILL continue, as WILL the kidnapping of aid workers – with both national and international staff at significant threat of abduction, despite the reported 16 December release of the remaining members of the Christian Aid Ministries group abducted in October.
• Looting will HIGHLY LIKELY increase, with aid supplies held by INGOs at particular risk as prices for all commodities rise.
• A strong acceptance strategy remains key to working in Haiti given the rise in looting, and kidnapping for ransom by gangs.
Haiti + 1 more
Haiti
Haiti
Haiti
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